The Opportunity Pot
The Opportunity Pot is where we act on higher conviction investment ideas within clear limits. The important part is not finding more stocks. It is having a repeatable process for deciding which ideas deserve capital.
Learn the framework we use to find, assess and manage higher-conviction opportunities, and see how our research team puts it into practice with Beansprout Pro.
Opportunity process
- 01
Find ideas
Macro themes & market insights
- 02
Screen quantitatively
Financial quality checks
- 03
Research stocks
Quality, catalysts and value
- 04
Build portfolio
Entry, sizing and exit rules
What this pot is for
-
Opportunity
Higher conviction ideas and more active investment opportunities
-
Time horizon
Varies by opportunity, but typically shorter term or more actively managed than the rest of the portfolio
-
Higher risk, conviction led investments
Options include individual stocks, thematic plays, and other active ideas where you have a clear view.
-
Not for
Core wealth building, or taking risks that could undermine the rest of your portfolio
Opportunity Pot Framework
From hundred of stocks to a focused portfolio. See the 4-stage investment process, from finding stock ideas to screening, research, entry price and exit rules. Start with what is changing, screen the numbers, research the business, then decide how much capital the idea deserves.
Stage 1
Find ideas by looking at what is changing
We begin with the market backdrop, structural themes, industry developments and company specific catalysts, then look for businesses that could benefit. The goal is to narrow the universe into a focused shortlist of around 20 stock ideas that fit a clear macro or thematic opportunity.
Track the market backdrop
Follow the macro signals that can change valuations, financing conditions and sector opportunities.
- Interest Rate Track how markets are pricing the next US interest rate move.
- US 10Y Bond Yield Watch the benchmark rate that influences global asset valuations.
- SG 10Y Bond Yield Track local rates and the backdrop for Singapore assets.
- Oil Price Follow a key input for inflation, costs & energy related opportunities.
Explore structural themes
Look for longer term changes that can create opportunities across industries and companies.
AI and data centres
Look beyond the headline and ask which businesses benefit from the infrastructure buildout.
Government spending
Infrastructure and construction demand can create multi year opportunities across the value chain.
Energy security
Power demand, renewables and energy infrastructure can create opportunities for selected companies.
Singapore wealth hub
Growing wealth flows can support banks and businesses exposed to wealth management activity.
Stage 2
Screen quantitatively to narrow the list
A good story is not enough, a company may benefit from an attractive industry trend, but still struggle with slowing earnings, excessive debt or weak profitability. Next, we use three objective financial checks to remove weaker candidates before spending time on deeper research.
Growth Stock Screener
Name | Revenue growth | EPS growth | Net debt/equity | ROE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singtel: Singapore Telecommunications Ltd SGX: Z74 | +0.8% | +40.6% | +28.7% | 19.6% |
| Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (Holdings) Ltd SGX: BS6 | +7.4% | +29.4% | -45.3% | 26.9% |
| Jardine Cycle & Carriage Limited SGX: C07 | -4.2% | +5.4% | +48.5% | 11.6% |
| Venture Corporation Limited SGX: V03 | -7.4% | -6.8% | -45.3% | 8.1% |
| SIA Engineering Company Limited SGX: S59 | +14.3% | +21.2% | +6.1% | 9.6% |
Note: Passing the screen is not a buy signal. It means the stock may deserve deeper research.
Explore Growth Stock ScreenerRevenue & earnings momentum
Is the growth story showing up in the financials?
Balance sheet strength
Can the company support its growth without taking on too much financial risk?
Return on equity
Is the company generating meaningful returns on shareholders' capital?
Income Stock Screener
Name | EPS Growth (3Y) | Net debt / equity | Payout ratio | Free Cash Flow (S$M) | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INFINITY DEVELOPMENT HOLDINGS SGX: ZBA | +20.6% | -45.9% | 6.9% | 76.6 | 7.5% |
| SIA: Singapore Airlines Limited SGX: C6L | +8.8% | +15.7% | 115.2% | 2,354.1 | 6.8% |
| Genting Singapore Limited SGX: G13 | +14.5% | -39.0% | 123.8% | 121.0 | 6.5% |
| ComfortDelGro Corporation Limited SGX: C52 | +32.9% | +36.7% | 75.3% | -136.5 | 6.4% |
| BRC ASIA LIMITED SGX: BEC | +4.1% | +2.4% | 68.1% | 116.4 | 5.7% |
Note: Passing the screen is not a buy signal. It means the stock may deserve deeper research.
Explore Income Stock ScreenerFundamental strength
Is the business growing its earnings over time?
Financial health
Is the balance sheet sound, the dividend commitment real, and the cash flow genuine?
Valuation
Is the yield meaningful and does it beat the risk-free rate?
Income REITs Screener
Name | DPS growth | Gearing ratio | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sasseur REIT SGX: CRPU | +0.9% | 25.6% | 10.9% |
| ESR REIT SGX: 9A4U | +453.0% | 41.4% | 10.1% |
| Prime US REIT SGX: OXMU | +110.3% | 44.9% | 8.5% |
| United Hampshire US REIT SGX: ODBU | +8.1% | 40.4% | 8.3% |
| Sabana Industrial REIT SGX: M1GU | +23.4% | 34.9% | 8.2% |
Note: Passing the screen is not a buy signal. It means the stock may deserve deeper research.
Explore Income REITs ScreenerFundamental strength
Is the REIT maintaining or growing distributions to unitholders?
Financial health
Does the REIT have enough balance sheet headroom?
Valuation
Is the yield attractive enough for the risk taken?
Stage 3
Research stocks to form an investment thesis
The screening helps us find companies that look promising on the surface. However, strong financial metrics alone are not enough to justify buying a stock. We assess the business, management, catalysts, valuation and risks, then write down why the opportunity exists and what could prove us wrong.
Four questions before we invest
- 1
Business and management quality
How does the company make money, and can management deliver?
- 2
Catalyst
What could cause earnings or valuation to improve?
- 3
Valuation
Is there enough upside for the risk we are taking?
- 4
Risks
What would make the thesis wrong or less attractive?
See our Pro research in practice
CICT: CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust SGX: C38U
Stage 4
Build portfolio with right sizing to diversify and manage risks
A good company can still be a poor investment if we overpay or size the position too aggressively. We set an entry price, position size and exit rules before committing capital, then review the thesis as new facts emerge.
Conviction Rating
Highest conviction 15% to 25%
Strong conviction 8% to 20%
Moderate conviction 3% to 10%
Low conviction Reduce or exit
Avoid 0%
The framework in practice
See how we manage our opportunity pot on Beansprout Pro
Pro is where the four stages come together. See our market views, the stocks that make it through our process, our research, and how we translate conviction into portfolio positions.
Explore Beansprout ProOpportunity Pot
S$100k model portfolio
- Find
Stage 1
Market outlook and themes
- Screen
Stage 2
Objective stock screening
- Research
Stage 3
Company research and thesis
- Position
Stage 4
Ratings, sizing and portfolio changes
Meet the team behind our investment research
Gerald Wong, CFA
CEO and Founder
13+ years in investment advisory, former Head of Singapore Securities Research at Credit Suisse, and a top ranked Singapore analyst by Institutional Investor from 2016 to 2020.
Imelda Tan
Senior Investment Director
20+ years in institutional equities, former Senior Portfolio Manager at Nomura Asset Management, managing mandates for sovereign wealth funds and pension institutions.
Ng Hui Min
Senior Investment Analyst
15+ years in Asian equities, former Senior Equity Portfolio Manager at Banque Pictet, managing Asia portfolios for ultra high net worth clients, with earlier roles at Capital Group and Credit Suisse.
Goh Lay Peng
Senior Investment Analyst
20+ years across equity research, fixed income credit and portfolio management, former credit analyst at Fullerton Fund Management and portfolio manager at Income Insurance.
Investment philosophy
What guides our decisions.
These principles sit behind how we find, assess and size opportunities. We believe markets can be inefficient and that active stock picking based on fundamental research can add value, especially at the individual security level.
Seek opportunities through deep research
We identify prevailing themes and mispriced investments through bottom up fundamental research, focusing on the gap between market price and intrinsic value.
Diversify deliberately
We prefer diversification across companies, sectors and sources of risk, so that no single position or theme determines the outcome of the portfolio.
Let conviction guide position sizing
Higher conviction, more attractively valued opportunities may receive more capital, while lower conviction or higher risk ideas are held at smaller weights.
Manage risk throughout the investment
We assess business, financial, valuation, liquidity and governance risks before investing and throughout the holding period. We may trim or exit when fair value is reached, or when new information meaningfully contradicts our original investment thesis.
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